Title page for ETD etd-01212005-114146


Type of Document Master's Thesis
Author Modali, Naveen Kumar
Author's Email Address nmodal1@lsu.edu
URN etd-01212005-114146
Title Modeling Destination Choice and Measuring the Transferability of Hurricane Evacuation Patterns
Degree Master of Science in Civil Engineering (M.S.C.E.)
Department Civil & Environmental Engineering
Advisory Committee
Advisor Name Title
Chester G. Wilmot Committee Chair
Brian Wolshon Committee Member
Sherif Ishak Committee Member
Keywords
  • hurricane
  • destination type
  • evacuation
Date of Defense 2004-11-18
Availability unrestricted
Abstract
In this study a gravity model was used to model destination choice during a hurricane evacuation. Hurricane Floyd data was used to calibrate and apply the gravity model. Two different models were generated for different destination types; home of friends/relative and hotels and motels are the two different destination types for which the models were generated. The performance of the gravity model was tested by comparing the observed and estimated OD matrices using the chi-squared test. The results have indicated that gravity model developed in this study can successfully reproduce the observed trip destinations during a hurricane evacuation The Floyd model developed was then tested for transferability by applying the model on the Hurricane Andrew data. It was observed that the gravity model developed on Floyd data can be transferred and used on the Andrew data.
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